Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#228
Pace66.8#158
Improvement-1.2#231

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#267
Improvement-1.4#250

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#267
Improvement+0.2#179
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2014 333   Stetson W 64-55 83%     1 - 0 -6.7 -7.8 -7.8
  Nov 23, 2014 160   South Carolina Upstate W 76-69 40%     2 - 0 +4.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 26, 2014 30   Davidson L 69-95 10%     2 - 1 -17.7 +4.2 +4.2
  Nov 30, 2014 330   Bethune-Cookman W 75-67 81%     3 - 1 -7.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2014 151   Georgia Southern W 61-59 36%     4 - 1 +0.0 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 06, 2014 82   @ Florida St. L 73-96 10%     4 - 2 -14.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 11, 2014 279   @ Illinois-Chicago L 60-71 41%     4 - 3 -14.3 -1.7 -1.7
  Dec 13, 2014 292   Florida Atlantic L 41-54 66%     4 - 4 -22.9 -4.9 -4.9
  Dec 17, 2014 190   Detroit Mercy W 75-70 45%     5 - 4 +0.6 -2.2 -2.2
  Dec 22, 2014 314   SE Louisiana W 70-65 74%     6 - 4 -7.2 -6.1 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2014 74   Tulsa L 54-56 19%     6 - 5 0 - 1 +1.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2015 68   @ Temple L 78-84 8%     6 - 6 0 - 2 +3.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 06, 2015 197   @ Houston W 79-78 OT 26%     7 - 6 1 - 2 +2.1 +0.5 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2015 29   SMU L 61-70 10%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -0.4 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 14, 2015 213   Tulane W 103-100 3OT 49%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -2.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 17, 2015 87   @ Memphis L 79-99 10%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -11.8 +4.1 +4.1
  Jan 22, 2015 67   @ Connecticut L 60-67 8%     8 - 9 2 - 5 +3.0 +5.0 +5.0
  Jan 25, 2015 55   Cincinnati L 46-56 14%     8 - 10 2 - 6 -4.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 28, 2015 68   Temple L 62-86 18%     8 - 11 2 - 7 -19.8 +2.1 +2.1
  Jan 31, 2015 29   @ SMU L 56-75 4%     8 - 12 2 - 8 -4.6 +7.2 +7.2
  Feb 07, 2015 206   @ East Carolina L 49-67 27%     8 - 13 2 - 9 -17.3 +0.4 +0.4
  Feb 11, 2015 255   South Florida W 73-62 59%     9 - 13 3 - 9 +3.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2015 197   Houston W 56-54 46%     10 - 13 4 - 9 -2.7 -2.3 -2.3
  Feb 19, 2015 213   @ Tulane W 69-55 28%     11 - 13 5 - 9 +14.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2015 87   Memphis L 65-75 OT 22%     11 - 14 5 - 10 -7.5 +1.2 +1.2
  Feb 25, 2015 55   @ Cincinnati L 60-83 6%     11 - 15 5 - 11 -11.3 +5.9 +5.9
  Feb 28, 2015 206   East Carolina L 66-71 48%     11 - 16 5 - 12 -10.1 -2.5 -2.5
  Mar 04, 2015 255   @ South Florida L 45-74 37%     11 - 17 5 - 13 -31.3 -1.1 -1.1
  Mar 12, 2015 206   East Carolina L 80-81 OT 37%     11 - 18 -3.2 -1.1 -1.1
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%